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I realize that the cost of this hobby has been discussed at length, but in going through some of my older magazines it struck me that the prices of pre and post war stuff has not only stabilized but has even dropped slightly since the advent of the internet. Look at the "typical" prices of these items in a magazine from, say the mid 1980s, and compare those with what is now "out there" from sites like eBay or what is offered on forums such as this one.

It would appear that since we now have access to so much more than we did a few decades ago, the prices reflect this.

I don't know for sure if this is true, but I thought I'd throw it out there, since I don't have any more Christmas-type photos to share! 

Mark in Oregon

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It's probably a combination of that and the much discussed aging and passing of the demographic that was passionate about pre and post war trains.

There is simply more supply than there used to be.  (aside from of course pristine mint pieces, those may still command some money since there are still many fewer surviving in that state than the played with variety)

-Dave

Last edited by Dave45681

Good point. I think one big factor has got to be the huge advances in electronics and related features. Like quite afew others I started running command engines quite afew years ago, and have not looked back since. I run nothung but DCS and Cab1 Cab2 stuff these days. I still have A bunch of the post war and MPC era stuff, but except for a few display pieces it just sits in boxes. I just have no interest in running it anymore, sadly.

It seems that this transition may be responsible for lowered interest in pre-command stuff, along with the much higher level of detail and scale accuracy that is now out there, all a result of market demand. There are probably lots of other reasons also.

Rod

Last edited by Rod Stewart

The pre & post war stuff will almost certainly rise in value sometime in the next 10-20 years. As the demographic of the original collectors continues to age out, the market responded to thinning and liquidating collections by treating it as oversupply - in no small part due to the advancements you've mentioned above. Since it currently holds less value than we might expect, much of what returns to circulation with be misplaced, mis-handled, or otherwise leave the potential market. This will eventually produce the scarcity, and the increasing cachet "vintage" collectibles gather, that drives prices up.

Bear in mind when making these comparisons....

1) The only Ebay prices that matter are those in the "Sold" category.  Open/active auctions are relatively meaningless wrt current value of an item.  

2) The value of a dollar changes every year.  As prices seemingly increase, it's called 'inflation'.  And, according to the US Government Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, the buying power of $100 in 1985 is about the same as $235 in 2018.  So, if you look at published prices being "equal" in those two years, in fact your $100 item in 2018 could've only bought about $42.50 in 1985.

At this time of year we (LHS) get a few holiday shoppers looking to buy the grandkids their first Lionel train set.  The first shock is the price tag.  But, some friendly conversation and comparisons soon reveals that today's Lionel set is actually a much better value than the memorable one of 50 years ago, more often than not leading to a sale.

Inflation-creep.   Not usually at the forefront of the thought process, but still a sobering reality in making value comparisons through the years.  

bobdavisnpf posted:

The pre & post war stuff will almost certainly rise in value sometime in the next 10-20 years. As the demographic of the original collectors continues to age out, the market responded to thinning and liquidating collections by treating it as oversupply - in no small part due to the advancements you've mentioned above. Since it currently holds less value than we might expect, much of what returns to circulation with be misplaced, mis-handled, or otherwise leave the potential market. This will eventually produce the scarcity, and the increasing cachet "vintage" collectibles gather, that drives prices up.

I really hate to break this to you but you are being completely illogical and irrational.  You will never live long enough to realize this fantasy you have established in your dream world.   Current owners and potential older buyers are dying off at an exponential rate when compared to the still living exceedingly small population of younger interested postwar buyers. Those very small numbers of us under 50 who appreciate these items will outlive those that even know what a postwar never mind a prewar item is, and we are poised to cleanup.  I'm 48 and I'm just waiting and watching.  Remember you can't take this stuff with you...it will melt.  Your children will unload it at pennies on the dollar.   I'm seeing the trends and it is only getting better and it's going to continue to get better for the buyers market for postwar or prewar.   I'm excited. 

Last edited by bostonpete
bostonpete posted:
bobdavisnpf posted:

The pre & post war stuff will almost certainly rise in value sometime in the next 10-20 years. As the demographic of the original collectors continues to age out, the market responded to thinning and liquidating collections by treating it as oversupply - in no small part due to the advancements you've mentioned above. Since it currently holds less value than we might expect, much of what returns to circulation with be misplaced, mis-handled, or otherwise leave the potential market. This will eventually produce the scarcity, and the increasing cachet "vintage" collectibles gather, that drives prices up.

I really hate to break this to you but you are being completely illogical and irrational.  You will never live long enough to realize this fantasy you have established in your dream world.   Current owners and potential buyers are dying off at an exponential rate when compared to the still living exceedingly small population of interested postwar buyers. Those very small numbers of us under 50 who appreciate these items will outlive those that even know what a postwar never mind a prewar item is, and we are poised to cleanup.  I'm 48 and I'm just waiting and watching.  Remember you can't take this stuff with you...it will melt.  Your children will unload it at pennies on the dollar.   I'm seeing the trends and it is only getting better and it's going to continue to get better for the buyers market for postwar or prewar.   I'm excited. 

I have added you to my naughty list and instructed my kids not to sell to you.

Bill DeBrooke posted:
bostonpete posted:
bobdavisnpf posted:

The pre & post war stuff will almost certainly rise in value sometime in the next 10-20 years. As the demographic of the original collectors continues to age out, the market responded to thinning and liquidating collections by treating it as oversupply - in no small part due to the advancements you've mentioned above. Since it currently holds less value than we might expect, much of what returns to circulation with be misplaced, mis-handled, or otherwise leave the potential market. This will eventually produce the scarcity, and the increasing cachet "vintage" collectibles gather, that drives prices up.

I really hate to break this to you but you are being completely illogical and irrational.  You will never live long enough to realize this fantasy you have established in your dream world.   Current owners and potential buyers are dying off at an exponential rate when compared to the still living exceedingly small population of interested postwar buyers. Those very small numbers of us under 50 who appreciate these items will outlive those that even know what a postwar never mind a prewar item is, and we are poised to cleanup.  I'm 48 and I'm just waiting and watching.  Remember you can't take this stuff with you...it will melt.  Your children will unload it at pennies on the dollar.   I'm seeing the trends and it is only getting better and it's going to continue to get better for the buyers market for postwar or prewar.   I'm excited. 

I have added you to my naughty list and instructed my kids not to sell to you.

I have to like that reply... cheers!

I own prewar/postwar/MPC and modern trains. Given the choice I will take the prewar and postwar trains over modern trains. The reason for me is reliability and simplicity. The modern trains are to fussy with the electronics not working half the time. Running the new trains is like driving a new car. Running the prewar and postwar trains is like driving a classic car.......I'll take the classics.

Dwayne B posted:

I own prewar/postwar/MPC and modern trains. Given the choice I will take the prewar and postwar trains over modern trains. The reason for me is reliability and simplicity. The modern trains are to fussy with the electronics not working half the time. Running the new trains is like driving a new car. Running the prewar and postwar trains is like driving a classic car.......I'll take the classics.

Good point. Given that this is a railroading forum & magazine, it makes sense to base our value calculations on operations rather than collectibles.

I have mainly MPC/LTI-era conventional trains, with two “modern” locomotives- a LC+ GP20, and a RailKing SD70ACe.  I like them all.  The overall quality of the LC+ could be better (plastic gears that are loose and make noise, rear coupler wire broke early on, pronounced wobble), but in general they’re just two different ways of enjoying trains.

tncentrr posted:

I have both post war and modern era trains. They both have their strengths and weaknesses. Generally speaking, I run mostly modern era trains, although I do give the postwar some track too. My experience with the modern era trains has been positive. I can't understand why so many people complain about it.

George

The reason we have problems with it is all the companies only make parts for a couple years for this new fancy stuff and when it breaks , unless you upgrade it, its worthless.  Lots of people are going back to old trains now because of this. I wish it wasn't true cause the new stuff is awesome.  It's just like buying an appliance for your house. Once it's broken, it's pretty much done 

bostonpete posted:
Bill DeBrooke posted:
bostonpete posted:
bobdavisnpf posted:

The pre & post war stuff will almost certainly rise in value sometime in the next 10-20 years. As the demographic of the original collectors continues to age out, the market responded to thinning and liquidating collections by treating it as oversupply - in no small part due to the advancements you've mentioned above. Since it currently holds less value than we might expect, much of what returns to circulation with be misplaced, mis-handled, or otherwise leave the potential market. This will eventually produce the scarcity, and the increasing cachet "vintage" collectibles gather, that drives prices up.

I really hate to break this to you but you are being completely illogical and irrational.  You will never live long enough to realize this fantasy you have established in your dream world.   Current owners and potential buyers are dying off at an exponential rate when compared to the still living exceedingly small population of interested postwar buyers. Those very small numbers of us under 50 who appreciate these items will outlive those that even know what a postwar never mind a prewar item is, and we are poised to cleanup.  I'm 48 and I'm just waiting and watching.  Remember you can't take this stuff with you...it will melt.  Your children will unload it at pennies on the dollar.   I'm seeing the trends and it is only getting better and it's going to continue to get better for the buyers market for postwar or prewar.   I'm excited. 

I have added you to my naughty list and instructed my kids not to sell to you.

I have to like that reply... cheers!

The more I consider it you should tell your children to sell it to me.  You can trust me that I will appreciate it, maintain it properly, respect it,  and give it a second or third life!

bostonpete posted:
bostonpete posted:
Bill DeBrooke posted:
bostonpete posted:
bobdavisnpf posted:

The pre & post war stuff will almost certainly rise in value sometime in the next 10-20 years. As the demographic of the original collectors continues to age out, the market responded to thinning and liquidating collections by treating it as oversupply - in no small part due to the advancements you've mentioned above. Since it currently holds less value than we might expect, much of what returns to circulation with be misplaced, mis-handled, or otherwise leave the potential market. This will eventually produce the scarcity, and the increasing cachet "vintage" collectibles gather, that drives prices up.

I really hate to break this to you but you are being completely illogical and irrational.  You will never live long enough to realize this fantasy you have established in your dream world.   Current owners and potential buyers are dying off at an exponential rate when compared to the still living exceedingly small population of interested postwar buyers. Those very small numbers of us under 50 who appreciate these items will outlive those that even know what a postwar never mind a prewar item is, and we are poised to cleanup.  I'm 48 and I'm just waiting and watching.  Remember you can't take this stuff with you...it will melt.  Your children will unload it at pennies on the dollar.   I'm seeing the trends and it is only getting better and it's going to continue to get better for the buyers market for postwar or prewar.   I'm excited. 

I have added you to my naughty list and instructed my kids not to sell to you.

I have to like that reply... cheers!

The more I consider it you should tell your children to sell it to me.  You can trust me that I will appreciate it, maintain it properly, respect it,  and give it a second or third life!

Well, maybe.  Perhaps you can come off the naughty list.  However I am not sure the oldest son is going to be willing to part with the trains.  How about a couple thousand cameras or a few hundred electric shavers?

When I got back into the hobby 21 years ago, I began buying modern scale-sized trains and that is all that I own - until today when I bought a "near mint" Lionel 1615 0-4-0 switcher. My preference happens to be the modern, scale-sized stuff but I have been wanting to own one postwar locomotive made by the "original" Lionel Corporation that says "Made in USA" on the bottom. To me, pre and postwar Lionel are examples of first class American model train engineering and manufacturing that does not exist today. Future generations probably won't feel quite as I do about that. I think there is a possibility that fewer O gauge trains will be made in the future as their production costs continue to rise and the demand among young people continues to decline. I also think that today's scale-sized trains may come to be valued, just as happened to pre and postwar trains. Why not? They are beautiful. In any case, I'm not concerned about the future value of any trains that I own. I did not purchase them as an investment.

MELGAR

I really like to hang on to or purchase if possible anything well made or over engineered, and made in the USA. I have retractable cord reels, Baldor bench grinders, and a large Emerson Electric fan, which date from the late 40's or 50's-- and I think even the belt is original on the fan. We made some GOOD stuff here in the good ole US of A. These old trains fall into that category. Made by people who cared that they made a quality product built to last. Now it is all about "increasing share holder value", and long term planning is four years at most, and cost cutting by laying off all the folks who knew what they were doing.  Brain drain has already happened, manufacturing expertise, things like "rules of thumb" are lost, and we can't even go back if we wanted to. Look at Eastman Kodak.  Really bothers me.... 

Rant over... (for now...)

Jeffrey Fikes posted:

I really like to hang on to or purchase if possible anything well made or over engineered, and made in the USA. I have retractable cord reels, Baldor bench grinders, and a large Emerson Electric fan, which date from the late 40's or 50's-- and I think even the belt is original on the fan. We made some GOOD stuff here in the good ole US of A. These old trains fall into that category. Made by people who cared that they made a quality product built to last. Now it is all about "increasing share holder value", and long term planning is four years at most, and cost cutting by laying off all the folks who knew what they were doing.  Brain drain has already happened, manufacturing expertise, things like "rules of thumb" are lost, and we can't even go back if we wanted to. Look at Eastman Kodak.  Really bothers me.... 

Rant over... (for now...)

I agree with your remarks. You talk about the quality of old trains. In my post above, I mentioned that I bought a Lionel 1615 0-4-0 switcher today - an engine that must have been at the lower end of the price range when it was built in 1955. As I examine it now, the quality of the manufacturing, design and manual assembly is quite striking. It obviously was made by people who cared and were proud of their work - right nearby in New Jersey.

MELGAR

Strummer posted:

I realize that the cost of this hobby has been discussed at length, but in going through some of my older magazines it struck me that the prices of pre and post war stuff has not only stabilized but has even dropped slightly since the advent of the internet. Look at the "typical" prices of these items in a magazine from, say the mid 1980s, and compare those with what is now "out there" from sites like eBay or what is offered on forums such as this one.

It would appear that since we now have access to so much more than we did a few decades ago, the prices reflect this.

I don't know for sure if this is true, but I thought I'd throw it out there, since I don't have any more Christmas-type photos to share! 

Mark in Oregon

It's great to live in the age of the Internet.  I'm 46.  I'm part of the last generation who will remember the bad old days before the Internet.  I've collected sports memorabilia, beer cans, firearms, and now trains (more of an operator really but whatever).  What a pain in the --- that was!  These are good times.  Anyway, regarding prewar/postwar, I respect that people have an interest in it but I don't.  Therefore it's difficult for me to imagine the prices not continuing the spiral downward.  But that's not an accurate barometer because that's not my interest.  I'm not a buyer at any price.

MELGAR posted:

When I got back into the hobby 21 years ago, I began buying modern scale-sized trains and that is all that I own - until today when I bought a "near mint" Lionel 1615 0-4-0 switcher. My preference happens to be the modern, scale-sized stuff but I have been wanting to own one postwar locomotive made by the "original" Lionel Corporation that says "Made in USA" on the bottom. To me, pre and postwar Lionel are examples of first class American model train engineering and manufacturing that does not exist today. Future generations probably won't feel quite as I do about that. I think there is a possibility that fewer O gauge trains will be made in the future as their production costs continue to rise and the demand among young people continues to decline. I also think that today's scale-sized trains may come to be valued, just as happened to pre and postwar trains. Why not? They are beautiful. In any case, I'm not concerned about the future value of any trains that I own. I did not purchase them as an investment.

MELGAR

I also got back into the hobby 21 years ago, I bought MPC hoping I could someday afford the pre & post war, and that I'd come into possession of the postwar Lionel of my childhood. Neither of those things happened until after my interest in them had passed. I too got into the modern scale stuff, and lost interest in collectibles - in part due to recognition that the market would dip for more years than I have left. When I got back out 7 years ago, the "investment" and "collectible" stuff pretty much all went to OGR Forumites and my church youth group.

MELGAR posted:

........................ I also think that today's scale-sized trains may come to be valued, just as happened to pre and postwar trains. Why not? They are beautiful. In any case, I'm not concerned about the future value of any trains that I own. I did not purchase them as an investment.

MELGAR

Beautiful, but the types of problems (even though obviously not global for most items  - aside from the oddball situations like the Mogul)) documented on this forum almost every day tend to suggest operational longevity is not in the cards as it was for most PW items.

Then again, some (even many) of the people who were big in to post war never ran their stuff (not for fear that it would not run, in most cases, just the collector vs. operator mindset).  So even though today, most people who are buying these things are trying to run them, would a person in the future care?  Will people buy current day trains in the future just because they look nice, but may not run at all?

I'm of the opinion that the early (by today's standard, primitive) TMCC stuff when it first came out but was not yet stuffed to the gills with more features (nor detail, since many were post war clones or similar, just with TMCC control) might be the "modern era" survivors in terms of longevity.  It won't likely be to the level of postwar longevity, but these seem significantly more durable than current production.  Of course a board may die here or there (excessive # of derailment events, etc), but those seem much more sturdy (particularly in out of the box failures, which existed, but were less frequent, IMO) than the current models.

-Dave

Last edited by Dave45681

According to some in the business community 10,000 baby boomers are retiring every day. Those are the people that drove up the prices of pre-post war trains in the 70's through the early 90's. Unless they are really set financially they will not be driving prices up for anything other than health care and funeral homes. Everything has it's cycle. In the 1980's I was in my 20's and the youngest guy into O scale trolley modeling in the area. At 55 I am still in the younger group. There never were that many people into trolley modeling compared to model railroading in general, now it is even less. 

As long as there is an intrinsic value on trains the mint/rare pre/post war stuff will have value, maybe not as much as it once had but it won't become rummage sale fodder. Common, broken, beat stuff will be very hard to sell no matter how old it is. If I was worried about recouping my investment in trains I'd be selling NOW before it's too late. I buy what I can afford and like, my kids can get rid of it later.

The way I see it, the internet leveled the collecting field on everything that were once hard to find. Back in the 80's and 90's the postwar trains were slowly climbing in resale value. There was a slow influx into the hobby from the baby boomers which contributed to the rising prices, also at that time there was expendable money. Prior to the internet, if you wanted something, you either had to go to a train meet, hobby shop or knew some one who knew some one who had what your looking for. Then all of a sudden, BAMMMM, the internet, everything started slowly showing up at your finger tips. Now you can sit home, surf the net and without leaving your home, you can get what your looking for and have it shipped to you.

Back in the late 90's (97-99) I sold most of my pw trains on ebay. Back then if you put, let say a 2046 steam engine w/matching tender on ebay, you did a search, maybe 2 or 3 would pop up, it was a sellers market. Now you do a search for the same engine and tender, as many 15-20 will pop up, now it's a buyers market. The past 5 or so yrs I got back into the hobby buying PW, MPC, and LTI trains, mostly what I had previously sold, I'm buying the same trains back at approx. 60-70 % of what I sold my stuff back in the 90's.   

I personally prefer and feel comfortable with postwar, MPC and LTI era Lionel, I understand what makes them tic.  

Jeffrey Fikes posted:

I really like to hang on to or purchase if possible anything well made or over engineered, and made in the USA. I have retractable cord reels, Baldor bench grinders, and a large Emerson Electric fan, which date from the late 40's or 50's-- and I think even the belt is original on the fan. We made some GOOD stuff here in the good ole US of A. These old trains fall into that category. Made by people who cared that they made a quality product built to last. Now it is all about "increasing share holder value", and long term planning is four years at most, and cost cutting by laying off all the folks who knew what they were doing.  Brain drain has already happened, manufacturing expertise, things like "rules of thumb" are lost, and we can't even go back if we wanted to. Look at Eastman Kodak.  Really bothers me.... 

Rant over... (for now...)

Without getting into a thread offline, we also made a lot of crap in the USA back in the day, shortsightedness, shareholder value, were all alive and well back then, too , and not everything modern is crap, modern cars by any measure are infinitely superior to what was made back in the 1950's, the peak of the post war Lionel period, for example. I don't even know how reliable Lionel trains were per se, when you make as many as they did, the ones that survive are the ones that were the best built; we don't know how many were DOA back then, we don't know how many fell apart. The fact that they were simple means they were a lot more tolerant, that is for sure, and could be repaired easily. 

Post war lionel trains were built as toys, they were rugged technology designed to take what kids could dish out. The open frame motors could take a short, and outside that everything was relatively simple, operating accessories were delightful rube goldbergs, the whistles and horns were simple electro-mechanical gizmos.  They had little detail on them, most of what was on there was relatively tough and could easily be replaced (among other things, thanks to the fact that the units were made in large numbers, and they used the same technology on a wide variety of cars, because these were not scale detail units, they could use the same mechanicals across a wide variety of models, and parts were therefore available, too (not to mention over the years third party firms making parts).

Modern Lionel and others trains tend to be more scale like or scale, they are not rugged toys. They have sophisticated electronic controls, they have tiny scale details, scale paint jobs, and it shows in the price and also the frailty of them. They are also made in small numbers, and as a result they are more akin to customized building, which tends to be a lot less reliable, despite what people think. Modern cars are sophisticated, more sophisticated then toy trains,  yet they last a lot longer. Part of this is that quality is something expected of cars, because of competition and the fact that quality became something people wanted/looked for (if you keep  car for a couple of years, you don't care it will fall apart at 30k miles, if you want to keep it a long time, you want it to last 200k miles). With the 3 rail O trains these days, we are in the position where it is a small market, the items are sophisticated, and there is not the economic reasons to build them with quality, no one competes on quality. Because the order size is so small for these, it also means parts are not exactly out there in abundance, and unlike the old post war they aren't interchangeable, a board that works in one vision engine won't work in another one likely. Because these boards are custom, and rely on custom code, it isn't like a third party can easily fix them or duplicate them. Not necessarily uncaring or where they are built, it is simply the dynamics of this market, as upsetting as it can be.

As far as the prices between 1985 and today, some of that needs to be looked at in terms of inflation (ie what 100 in 1985 was worth today), some of it reflects dropping demand as the baby boomers have moved on who were the big clients, but there is another reason. In 1985 the collecting mania for 'old things' had hit Lionel, post war prices went through the roof because collector mania decided Lionel post war was another 'hot' market (it was a collecting bubble in other words), and that like most bubbles it burst.  Post war has returned like most things, where collectability is based on condition (ie not retouched, in mint shape in the original box) and being rare/scarce, like any other collectible. It means that the post war we buy to run them only have value as much as we want to pay, and that causes prices to be more realistic (well, at least what they should be, now you know why you see things like someone wanting a ridiculous amount for a common post war train, someone still seeing 'gold in them thar hills). Over time some of the stuff we run might become more valuable as time passes and there simply are less and less of them available, but likely down the road it is going to be the rare and untouched examples that have the real value, same as today, it is how collectibles work in general. With that said, best to enjoy the trains, run them, have fun with them, and hope in the end that the joy you got out of them was worth whatever you paid for it, and whatever they are worth in the end, is a plus . 

 

 

bigkid posted:

Without getting into a thread offline, we also made a lot of crap in the USA back in the day, shortsightedness, shareholder value, were all alive and well back then, too , and not everything modern is crap, modern cars by any measure are infinitely superior to what was made back in the 1950's, the peak of the post war Lionel period, for example. I don't even know how reliable Lionel trains were per se, when you make as many as they did, the ones that survive are the ones that were the best built; we don't know how many were DOA back then, we don't know how many fell apart. The fact that they were simple means they were a lot more tolerant, that is for sure, and could be repaired easily. 

Maybe: although I can't imagine there were too many "DOAs" right out of the box back then...

Post war lionel trains were built as toys, they were rugged technology designed to take what kids could dish out. The open frame motors could take a short, and outside that everything was relatively simple, operating accessories were delightful rube goldbergs, the whistles and horns were simple electro-mechanical gizmos.  They had little detail on them, most of what was on there was relatively tough and could easily be replaced (among other things, thanks to the fact that the units were made in large numbers, and they used the same technology on a wide variety of cars, because these were not scale detail units, they could use the same mechanicals across a wide variety of models, and parts were therefore available, too (not to mention over the years third party firms making parts).

True, but (and this has been mentioned many times before) you take any well-cared for appliance-type item made in the post-war era (be it a Hamilton Beach mixer or a Singer sewing machine), and it shows that same almost military-style built ruggedness.

Modern Lionel and others trains tend to be more scale like or scale, they are not rugged toys. They have sophisticated electronic controls, they have tiny scale details, scale paint jobs, and it shows in the price and also the frailty of them.

What about HO and N scale trains? Those are also highly detailed, with the same kind of electronics, details, etc. they have been with us and very reliable for many, many years...

They are also made in small numbers, and as a result they are more akin to customized building, which tends to be a lot less reliable, despite what people think.

...really? I would have "guessed" (the key word here) just the opposite...

With the 3 rail O trains these days, we are in the position where it is a small market, the items are sophisticated, and there is not the economic reasons to build them with quality, no one competes on quality. 

Lionel, MTH, etc...are you listening?

 With that said, best to enjoy the trains, run them, have fun with them, and hope in the end that the joy you got out of them was worth whatever you paid for it, and whatever they are worth in the end, is a plus . 

Amen! 

Mark in Oregon

 

 

 

Want more new trains?

Just tell your wife that it is a investment and 5 to 10 years they will be worth a lot,could buy a Mercedes car).
This way you can get what you want.
(I know that they will not be worth the money and that you will never get what you paid for/pennies on a dollar).

This is why I buy old prewar beat up trains that no one wants and just maybe I can get what I paid for them

Strummer posted:
bigkid posted:

Without getting into a thread offline, we also made a lot of crap in the USA back in the day, shortsightedness, shareholder value, were all alive and well back then, too , and not everything modern is crap, modern cars by any measure are infinitely superior to what was made back in the 1950's, the peak of the post war Lionel period, for example. I don't even know how reliable Lionel trains were per se, when you make as many as they did, the ones that survive are the ones that were the best built; we don't know how many were DOA back then, we don't know how many fell apart. The fact that they were simple means they were a lot more tolerant, that is for sure, and could be repaired easily. 

Maybe: although I can't imagine there were too many "DOAs" right out of the box back then...

Post war lionel trains were built as toys, they were rugged technology designed to take what kids could dish out. The open frame motors could take a short, and outside that everything was relatively simple, operating accessories were delightful rube goldbergs, the whistles and horns were simple electro-mechanical gizmos.  They had little detail on them, most of what was on there was relatively tough and could easily be replaced (among other things, thanks to the fact that the units were made in large numbers, and they used the same technology on a wide variety of cars, because these were not scale detail units, they could use the same mechanicals across a wide variety of models, and parts were therefore available, too (not to mention over the years third party firms making parts).

True, but (and this has been mentioned many times before) you take any well-cared for appliance-type item made in the post-war era (be it a Hamilton Beach mixer or a Singer sewing machine), and it shows that same almost military-style built ruggedness.

Modern Lionel and others trains tend to be more scale like or scale, they are not rugged toys. They have sophisticated electronic controls, they have tiny scale details, scale paint jobs, and it shows in the price and also the frailty of them.

What about HO and N scale trains? Those are also highly detailed, with the same kind of electronics, details, etc. they have been with us and very reliable for many, many years...

They are also made in small numbers, and as a result they are more akin to customized building, which tends to be a lot less reliable, despite what people think.

...really? I would have "guessed" (the key word here) just the opposite...

With the 3 rail O trains these days, we are in the position where it is a small market, the items are sophisticated, and there is not the economic reasons to build them with quality, no one competes on quality. 

Lionel, MTH, etc...are you listening?

 With that said, best to enjoy the trains, run them, have fun with them, and hope in the end that the joy you got out of them was worth whatever you paid for it, and whatever they are worth in the end, is a plus . 

Amen! 

Mark in Oregon

 

 

 

"Craft made" things are not going to be better built when you try and make more than 1 or 2, handmade has this connotation of quality and craftmanship, but when you are building a lot that style of building it doesn't lead to quality, that is based in quality of components and in interchangeable  parts.  The stuff from the good old days was made more heavy duty, there is no doubt about it, heavy duty motors, gears made of bronze, not plastic, plus the control units were mechanical......and most of which could be replaced (bearings would fail, and that could be impossible to fix).  I can't speak to the quality of them, how many failed back then, were DOA, but I can tell you in the auto industry and in some industries the failure rates were orders of magnitude higher than today, lot of time was spent rebuilding stuff coming off the lines, problems with parts not fitting, etc...no one cared because they were doing so well, didn't matter. Again, too, these things survived because they also were repairable, something goes on a modern appliance it doesn't pay to replace it. The reason for the cheapness is found in the price, if you compare what appliances cost back then relative to salaries and whatnot, they were a lot more expensive than units today on a relative basis. 

As far as HO and N go, I don't know what their relative quality is like, but there are some big differences. DC only HO and N scale engines are simple, you basically have a DC motor whose direction is set by polarity. I don't know how many of them are DOA, but a lot of the DOA stuff tends to be the circuit boards. Plus O gauge equipment has a lot more detail on it, simply because of size.  The big difference with HO and N is if something goes, you can replace it. If a DCC decoder or sound board goes south, you can replace it easily, because DCC is an industry standard, you don't need to get back to Atlas if a DCC decoder on an engine goes south. The other thing is because it is a bigger market, N and HO manufacturers will make more engines and have more parts. Coupler breaks? You get a new kadee replacement. Wheel set goes on a car? you can get replacements pretty easily, or replacement trucks....it is a larger market, with industry standard electronics. Compare that to MTH, Lionel and Atlas, whose runs are relatively small, whose components are made for them, and it is very different..and HO and N are also a lot more competitive.  I am not defending the 3 rail makers,far from it, just saying they are a different market than other trains, and are more like modern appliances than we like to think, complicated controls and made without much in the way of quality control because appliances don't compete on quality either. 

 

 

Dwayne B posted:

I own prewar/postwar/MPC and modern trains. Given the choice I will take the prewar and postwar trains over modern trains. The reason for me is reliability and simplicity. The modern trains are to fussy with the electronics not working half the time. Running the new trains is like driving a new car. Running the prewar and postwar trains is like driving a classic car.......I'll take the classics.

No.

Long ago I've come to the conclusion, I buy it because I like it and I run it, not babysitting it for the next person.  ;-)

As for an investment, I learned from a friend who's main income was buying and selling new and old toys and trains. I asked him, when do you know when to sell ?  He said, when I can make a buck, if you wait, expecting it to go higher in value you can end up eating it.

 

 

 

Judging by this trainworld ad, old stuff is still expensive, especially check out the 411E.  Plus, I watch the train auctions, just for curiosity and, obviously, there is a market for old train, yet: And everything sells.

Personally, I think trains, in general, all scales, age, will do OK for the next 20-30 years as there are a lot of baby boomers out there that are retiring and need a hobby and with no kids and a lot of disposable income to spend.  They are going to remember what they had as a child and relive, as I do!

As Ralphy said: 'The best present I ever got or ever will get' was the Lionel F-3 passenger set.

https://www.trainworld.com/man...war-tinplate-trains/

Last edited by samparfitt

There was a reason that Lionel in the postwar era had hundreds of service stations.  The precision and reliability of manufacturing was vastly inferior back in the 1950s.  As is mentioned above, the ones that are still around are the survivors that were well made or lightly used.  The ones that burned up or otherwise went to heck in a handbasket are in landfills somewhere.  The same will happen with some of our modern trains.  Failed electrocouplers, receivers, smoke units will be replaceable for locomotives that haven't been used as crash dummies with Lincoln Logs .  Don't worry, be happy.

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