Unfortunately, the hobby is in trouble.
- demographics against it - fewer people BUILD anything, such as a layout. Younger people need to be introduced to the train hobby- and WE "serious hobbyists" sometimes don't do a very good job of that. After all- trains are not the state of the art in transportation any more, to capture the imagination of young people.
- prices climbing (BECAUSE we demand features that mean $ 800- 2000 locomotives). 6 opening doors on my F7 set? I don't need even ONE!!! But I have six opening doors?? six springs? Labor to mount 6 sets of doors??
All I WANT is decent running, good looking and trouble free equipment.
- Asian, and Chinese production - necessary because there is a lot of hand work . Putting on dem doors, I guess. And therefore high labor costs. Asian labor is cheaper.
- (what I call) "Walmart mentality" among USA consumers, who are not willing to buy anything unless on the cheap. Our culture has gone to owning 12-15 pairs of jeans at $18 apiece rather than 2 or 3 at $ 50 apiece.
- AND- US. We continue to buy stuff that IS available through the local hobby shop online, and then wonder: "What did Ace Hobby on Main St. close?" A local hobby shop owner cannot afford to stock $ 800- $ 1500 engines. Many distributors also have the same issue. So- all steps in the supply chain have to try and sell based on "Build to Order", a concept that many people object to- buying something they have never seen, and that they do not even know WHEN will be in.
Lionel remains our best possibility at turning these trends. BUT they have to produce product that appeals to kids (Thomas, Mickey Mouse, etc,) to try and build a new demographic, AND yet still try to stay in the game with us "serious hobbyists". It's a tough assignment for General Motors or Apple, and near impossible for a $ 100 million company that does not control its own manufacturing.
A mass market return for model trains would be good for everybody! I wish them the best!!