Trying to pass the miles on a windy bike ride tonight, I started thinking about K-Line, the quality of the products they were making and the company's ascension from budget-friendly toy train maker to a market player on par with MTH and Lionel. And that led me to wonder, had everything stayed as it was then, would K-Line still be around today?
(As a refresher, K-Line was making some quality, affordable stuff using old Kusan/Marx tooling. Then they began investing in their own, newer tooling and making some top-shelf power and rolling stock that was as good or better than the best offerings from Lionel or MTH. As this was the early days of command control, K-Line licensed TMCC from Lionel to put in their front line power. K-Line was working on their own command control system, but it was discovered that much of that system was built around Lionel's proprietary sound, speed and transformer technology, which had been illicitly "purchased" through a Lionel employee. Lionel sued and ultimately agreed to settle, which allowed K-line to pay restitution but also stay in business. However, when K-line released their version of the settlement, it completely misrepresented the case and the settlement. The settlement fell apart and Lionel went back to court arguing to for more severe settlement terms, which the judge approved. That left K-Line with lots of product (that featured TMCC and/or K-Line's own illicit control system) that they now couldn't sell. With few high margin items to sell, many of which had already been paid for and produced, K-Line ultimately declared bankruptcy and was purchased by its largest creditor, its Chinese manufacturer Sanda Kan, who then licensed the bulk of K-Line's trademarks and intellectual properties to Lionel.)
So, back to my original theoretical question: Without the technology theft, lawsuit and bankruptcy, would K-Line still be in business today?
As I worked through it in simple terms, the fact they essentially stole Lionel's technology tells me the company lacked the capital to fully develop their own system. Without that, they would have either had to continue licensing from Lionel or work through MTH. Without either of those systems, would they have had to eventually scale back their offerings and perhaps become, like Williams, an acquisition target for a larger manufacturer?
Given all that, the answer I came up with was, no, K-Line wouldn't have survived to 2023. However, since there are many here who are far more knowledgeable on the industry than me, I'd love to hear some other thoughts as well.
Speculate away!
redrockbill