I hate to say this, but it does not spell success for the hobby. Harley Davidson is on the same track…..high cost and issues will do it every time. I also blame all the manufacturers at Christmas time where are the TV commercials? The biggest selling season and MIA………..shame.
I'm tired of all the bad news. In light of your comments, and the apparently obvious decline of our hobby, why don't we immediately turn off the lights, close the door, and say goodbye?
While many of us may be considering doing so I can't.
Future hobbyists in our space won't fill it the same way we do, and it's already happening. Instead they'll be coming here from other interests and introductions, such as:
- History -- Stumbling across and the following restoration and showcase efforts, like UP 4014. Nice-sized crowds; easy to tap
- Entertainment -- Many, many tie-ins, old and new, like Thomas, Harry Potter, the Polar Express. Huge potential audiences; grabbing just a small percentage of them is all that's necessary
- Travel -- Amtrak carried record numbers of passengers last year; it has led folks to join us for over 50 years and there'll be even more with its new expansion
- Related Hobbies -- Brio (wooden trains on wooden tracks), Lego; these are traditional paths followed by little ones and they continue to be successful -- as they always have
- Model and Toy Train Displays -- Don't discount this; with little to do during the cold winter months these shows continue to draw in families in reasonable big numbers
Individually these might not make much difference but together they're just enough.
And don't tell me that nowadays there are distractions that we didn't have back in the day when we came in. Why did our hobby not fold under pressure from Hot Wheels, GI Joe, Model Rockets in the 60's? Or R/C vehicles, aircraft and watercraft later on?
Lastly, you obviously don't remember the 70's and early 80's. That's when I came in. Inflation was much, much, much worse then than it is now. Rising prices are not a new problem, and not necessarily a hobby killer.
Somehow, over its 125 year history, our glorious hobby has survived so many things.
It will continue to do so.
Let's welcome the new folks and make them feel at home -- and please don't turn off the lights prematurely.
Mike