Originally Posted by david1:
If you buying trains to make money you are buying for all the wrong reasons. You buy trains because you like them. But them to run not to hang on a shelf.
The collecting frenzy is over, more and more PW collections are hitting the market as the pw collectors are passing on.
There are allot better investments then trains.
I also share this view. Buy what you like and run it!
The PW collectible era is really over with maybe a few exceptions.
When PW boomers put away their toys for other interests, time and attrition reduced the available supply. When the boomers (me included) wanted to re-capture youth we looked to our toys of yesterday and the PW market took off. Now those same collections are coming back on the secondary market with many fewer buyers. The generations after us have their own non train iconic toys to chase.
As far as modern "collectibles" go, IMO you can not manufacture scarcity. There may be a scattered few really rare items, but I believe the market is saturated already.
Since our trains are no longer casually stored, but pampered from the moment they come out of the box, I don't believe there will be much attrition over the years.
If 1200 units of an item get built, 75% or better will survive.
So, buy trains that make you happy and satisfied, run them or not, but please do not expect a rise in future value.
Just my $.02 worth.
Jon