Walter,
Agreed. There's clearly an assumption on Lionel's part that people still shop in malls.
Some still do, but not anywhere near the crowds that used to fill them back in the day, particularly leading up to the holidays.
The fall-off has been so large that many, or most? malls, depending on where you live, have closed. Shouldn't this be a warning?
Mike
Were you in on the meetings with the executives when they presented the plan? Are you aware of the holding company's overarching plan for this location that goes beyond basic EBITDA?
Do you know what the PV of this particular mall is? What's the D&B forecast for tenants ROI at this property, based on the type of lease any particular tenant has?
Is there a consistent due diligence list that coincides with the waiting/interest list of potential new tenants and added major anchors?
Have you seen the 20 year plan for this area, since it was reinvented after the old theme park closed (where this mall is now)?
What's the average daily foot traffic?
Where does SPG fall in the overall performance category of other property groups.
How's the NOI at this particular mall.
I am fairly certain though, as you said, Lionel is just throwing darts with assumptions that people still shop in malls, without doing any research and due diligence of their own.
FYI: I know the answer to all of the above, since SPG is in my portfolio. (and it's performing very well, thank you). If I were looking to open a shop at a mall, SPG properties would be the first place I'd look, based on all my research, and whether or not I owned stock.
Maybe turn off any subjectively emotional feelings about Lionel, and cut them some slack. They are not just winging it day to day.